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Tell me what you think.
NOTE: I’m switching my prediction for Costumes from La La Land to Jackie
It’s that time of the year. The Oscars are in full bloom and their attar, more pungent that car exhaust, can be recognized all across Los Angeles.
This means it’s time to start the real weeding and make my Academy Award predictions.
I will start with a few observations.
The Academy rarely selects a bad film for Best Picture. But it usually doesn’t award it to the best film of the year either.
The Oscars usually award the best of middle brow entertainment with some edginess thrown in. In other words, do not look to the Oscars for the best of the year, but for a certain zeitgeist of the time.
If there is any edginess, it’s often found in the screenplay nominations (though lately the Best Foreign Language films have been pretty impressive).
The Oscars are one way to prove that a film’s greatness is determined by the ratio of time to critical respect. The way to do this is to look at the list of winners and compare them to what is generally now considered to be the best films of a particular year. You will find quite a disconnect.
Now on to my predictions.You probably won’t find me taking any real chances here. This year, my predictions are going to be what is generally expected.
These choices are subject to change over the coming week.
Best Actor: Casey Affleck
Best Actress: Emma Stone
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester By The Sea
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Director: Damien Chazelle
Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Costume Design: Jackie
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Make Up: Star Trek Beyond
Best Score: La La Land
Best Song: City of Stars
Best Sound Design: Hacksaw Ridge
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Documentary: OJ: Made in America
Best Animated Short: Piper
Best Documentary Short: Joe’s Violin
Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs