AND THE OSCAR GOES TO…


top-50-screenwriting-blogsFor questions: hcasner@aol.com
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Tell me what you think.
NOTE: I’m switching my prediction for Costumes from La La Land to Jackie
blog2It’s that time of the year. The Oscars are in full bloom and their attar, more pungent that car exhaust, can be recognized all across Los Angeles.
This means it’s time to start the real weeding and make my Academy Award predictions.
I will start with a few observations.
The Academy rarely selects a bad film for Best Picture. But it usually doesn’t award it to the best film of the year either.

blog3Almost everyone who deserves to win an Oscar does so. But often not for the film they should have.

The Oscars usually award the best of middle brow entertainment with some edginess thrown in. In other words, do not look to the Oscars for the best of the year, but for a certain zeitgeist of the time.

If there is any edginess, it’s often found in the screenplay nominations (though lately the Best Foreign Language films have been pretty impressive).

The Oscars are one way to prove that a film’s greatness is determined by the ratio of time to critical respect. The way to do this is to look at the list of winners and compare them to what is generally now considered to be the best films of a particular year. You will find quite a disconnect.

blog4My favorite quote about the Oscars. Unfortunately, I can’t find the source and can only paraphrase: Hollywood. That’s that place where they give awards for acting to people like Charlton Heston.

Now on to my predictions.You probably won’t find me taking any real chances here. This year, my predictions are going to be what is generally expected.

These choices are subject to change over the coming week.

blog5Best Picture: La La Land

Best Actor: Casey Affleck

Best Actress: Emma Stone

Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali

Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis

Best Original Screenplay: Manchester By The Sea

Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight

Best Director: Damien Chazelle

Best Cinematography: La La Land

Best Costume Design: Jackie

Best Production Design:  La La Land

blog6Best Editing: La La Land

Best Make Up: Star Trek Beyond

Best Score: La La Land

Best Song: City of Stars

Best Sound Design: Hacksaw Ridge

Best Sound Mixing: La La Land

Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

Best Animated Feature: Zootopia

Best Documentary: OJ: Made in America

blog7Best Foreign Language Film: Toni Erdmann

Best Animated Short: Piper

Best Documentary Short: Joe’s Violin

Best Live Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs

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